● 2026 Melbourne South East Market Trends

Why are people still moving to Officer and Pakenham when Melbourne has so many suburbs?

People continue to move to Officer and Pakenham because a genuine detached family home remains attainable at a price point that’s simply unavailable closer to the CBD. While Melbourne offers many suburbs, very few can deliver this combination of affordability and lifestyle.

What’s driving demand?

A detached family home for under $700,000 is near-impossible within 20km of the CBD. Officer and Pakenham offer that possibility. Beyond price, both suburbs now have multiple primary and secondary school options, and retail, healthcare, and community infrastructure have matured significantly in the past decade.

How quickly is the area growing?

Cardinia Shire, encompassing Officer and Pakenham, is one of Victoria’s fastest-growing areas, adding approximately 5,000 to 7,000 residents each year. That’s the equivalent of a new primary school’s worth of families moving in every few months, and this growth has been consistent regardless of interest rate cycles.

How has Pakenham changed?

Pakenham has transformed from a semi-rural service town to a recognised metropolitan suburb. The opening of Pakenham Place regional shopping centre, new schools, the Cardinia Road healthcare precinct, and Pakenham Line Upgrade have all contributed to this maturation. The population is now well over 60,000.

The honest reality

Structural demand doesn’t simply switch off because the RBA moves rates. While rate rises make ownership harder to access, more arrivals are renting for longer. Vacancy in Officer and Pakenham has stayed below 2 percent despite market pressures, but this doesn’t mean rental properties are immune to the broader economic climate.

Questions to consider

  • If you’re considering selling, how does your property compare to the newer homes now available in Pakenham?
  • As an investor, are you factoring in the consistent tenant demand driven by population growth?
  • If you’re a first home buyer, have you considered how rate rises impact your borrowing capacity compared to buyers in more expensive suburbs?

Talk to KR Peters for a straight-talking appraisal with no obligation.
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Market information is general in nature and reflects conditions
at the time of publication. For advice specific to your property,
contact KR Peters.

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